{"id":3901,"date":"2019-03-18T05:59:15","date_gmt":"2019-03-18T04:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rutube.fr\/?p=3901"},"modified":"2019-03-18T05:59:15","modified_gmt":"2019-03-18T04:59:15","slug":"et-si-les-gilets-jaunes-avaient-sauve-leconomie-francaise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2019\/03\/18\/et-si-les-gilets-jaunes-avaient-sauve-leconomie-francaise\/","title":{"rendered":"Et si les gilets jaunes avaient sauv\u00e9 l’\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Selon les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions de la Banque de France, la croissance fran\u00e7aise se maintiendrait \u00e0 1,4% en 2019, gr\u00e2ce\u2026 aux mesures d’urgences vot\u00e9es fin d\u00e9cembre et destin\u00e9es \u00e0 calmer la crise des ronds-points.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Les \u00abgilets jaunes\u00bb sauveurs de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? On peut l\u00e9gitimement poser cette question, volontairement provocatrice, apr\u00e8s la publication par la Banque de France, jeudi soir, de ses\u00a0nouvelles pr\u00e9visions macro\u00e9conomique<\/a>. L\u2019institution \u00e9voque ainsi des taux de croissance pour le pays compris entre 1,4% et 1,5% entre\u00a02019 et\u00a02021. C\u2019est, certes, bien moins que le 1,7% sur lequel comptait encore le gouvernement fin 2018 et inscrit en loi de finances pour cette ann\u00e9e mais bien plus que le petit 1% anticip\u00e9 par l\u2019OCDE pour l\u2019ensemble de la zone euro.\u00a0\u00abDans un contexte plus incertain, la croissance fran\u00e7aise ferait preuve de r\u00e9silience\u00bb<\/em>, \u00e9crit le banquier central dans sa note. Pour quelles raisons\u00a0? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Banque de France parle pudiquement de\u00a0\u00abmesures dites MUES\u00bb<\/em>. \u00abMUES\u00bb\u00a0?\u00a0\u00abMesures d\u2019urgence \u00e9conomiques et sociales\u00bb<\/em>, soit celles annonc\u00e9es par Emmanuel Macron mi-d\u00e9cembre sous la pression des\u00a0gilets jaunes<\/a>\u00a0puis vot\u00e9es en catastrophe par le Parlement avant No\u00ebl pour tenter de calmer la col\u00e8re sur les ronds-points.\u00a0\u00abL\u2019activit\u00e9 en France devrait certes p\u00e2tir de la faiblesse de la demande de ses partenaires commerciaux mais b\u00e9n\u00e9ficierait en revanche du net rebond du pouvoir d\u2019achat et de la consommation des m\u00e9nages, soutenus par la baisse du prix du p\u00e9trole en fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re et les mesures budg\u00e9taires importantes vot\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre\u00bb<\/em>, peut-on \u00e9galement lire dans cette m\u00eame note. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Red\u00e9marrage de la consommation<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Hausse de la prime d\u2019activit\u00e9, d\u00e9fiscalisation des heures suppl\u00e9mentaires, prime d\u00e9fiscalis\u00e9e vers\u00e9e par certaines entreprises, annulation de la hausse de CSG pour une grande partie des retrait\u00e9s\u2026 En tout, 10 milliards d\u2019euros en faveur des m\u00e9nages inject\u00e9s dans l\u2019\u00e9conomie, financ\u00e9s \u00e0 la fois par des recettes suppl\u00e9mentaires (plus de 2 milliards d\u2019euros) sur les tr\u00e8s grandes entreprises (taxe Gafa et petite pause dans la baisse de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s) et des \u00e9conomies budg\u00e9taires encore non connues (1,5 milliard). Financ\u00e9s aussi \u2013\u00a0et surtout\u00a0\u2013 en puisant dans le d\u00e9ficit public, lequel, selon le gouvernement, atteindra en 2019 non pas les 2,8% de PIB pr\u00e9vus en loi de finances mais 3,2% du PIB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abA partir du d\u00e9but de cette ann\u00e9e, la consommation des m\u00e9nages gagnerait nettement en vigueur, soutenue par le dynamisme encore accru du pouvoir d\u2019achat\u00bb<\/em>, \u00e9crit encore la Banque de France.\u00a0\u00abLa consommation des m\u00e9nages\u00bb<\/em>, moteur traditionnel de la croissance fran\u00e7aise rest\u00e9e d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9ment en panne \u2013 au grand dam du gouvernement \u2013 une grande partie de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2018,\u00a0\u00abacc\u00e9l\u00e9rerait donc en 2019, mais se maintiendrait \u00e9galement \u00e0 un rythme soutenu en 2020\u00bb<\/em>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si les commerces ont p\u00e2ti des blocages et manifestations hebdomadaires de\u00a0gilets jaunes,<\/a>\u00a0ils devraient donc eux aussi profiter, dans un second temps, du\u00a0\u00abpouvoir d\u2019achat\u00bb<\/em>\u00a0rendu aux m\u00e9nages gr\u00e2ce \u2013 notamment \u2013 aux mesures d\u2019urgence. Comme quoi, un \u00abchoc de demande\u00bb peut aussi, en p\u00e9riode de gros temps \u00e9conomique international (sanctions am\u00e9ricaines, ralentissement allemand, Brexit\u2026), aider au maintien de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise. Les\u00a0\u00abgilets jaunes\u00bb<\/a>\u00a0sauveurs de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise\u00a0? Peut-\u00eatre\u2026 En tout cas, sans leur mobilisation, Emmanuel Macron et son gouvernement n\u2019auraient jamais fait ces choix-l\u00e0. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source Lib\u00e9ration<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Selon les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions de la Banque de France, la croissance fran\u00e7aise se maintiendrait \u00e0 1,4% en 2019, gr\u00e2ce\u2026 aux mesures d’urgences vot\u00e9es fin d\u00e9cembre et destin\u00e9es \u00e0 calmer la crise des ronds-points. Les \u00abgilets jaunes\u00bb sauveurs de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? On peut l\u00e9gitimement poser cette question, volontairement provocatrice, apr\u00e8s la publication par la Banque … Continuer la lecture de « Et si les gilets jaunes avaient sauv\u00e9 l’\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-non-classe"],"yoast_head":"\nEt si les gilets jaunes avaient sauv\u00e9 l'\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? - # WEBTUBE.fr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2019\/03\/18\/et-si-les-gilets-jaunes-avaient-sauve-leconomie-francaise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Et si les gilets jaunes avaient sauv\u00e9 l'\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? - # WEBTUBE.fr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Selon les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions de la Banque de France, la croissance fran\u00e7aise se maintiendrait \u00e0 1,4% en 2019, gr\u00e2ce\u2026 aux mesures d’urgences vot\u00e9es fin d\u00e9cembre et destin\u00e9es \u00e0 calmer la crise des ronds-points. Les \u00abgilets jaunes\u00bb sauveurs de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise ? 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