{"id":35081,"date":"2026-03-26T08:27:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T08:27:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/?p=35081"},"modified":"2026-03-26T08:27:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T08:27:02","slug":"guerre-diran-point-de-situation-a-j24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/26\/guerre-diran-point-de-situation-a-j24\/","title":{"rendered":". Guerre d\u2019Iran\u00a0: point de situation \u00e0 J+24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Articles : Mar. 2026<\/a> – Fev 2026<\/a> – Jan 2026<\/a> – Dec. 2025<\/a> –
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#webtube <\/strong>: Comment y voir clair dans le brouillard de la guerre ? Depuis le d\u00e9clenchement des op\u00e9rations isra\u00e9lo-am\u00e9ricaines contre l\u2019Iran, les annonces contradictoires, la propagande et les chiffres inv\u00e9rifiables se multiplient. Notre sp\u00e9cialiste, l\u2019historien militaire Laurent Schang, dresse un premier point de situation et esquisse les sc\u00e9narios possibles de cette guerre qui pourrait embraser tout le Moyen-Orient.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

18 mars (J+19) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Les forces combin\u00e9es poursuivent leurs frappes cibl\u00e9es contre l\u2019appareil s\u00e9curitaire iranien (b\u00e2timents administratifs, syst\u00e8mes de d\u00e9fense a\u00e9rienne, bases industrielles de d\u00e9fense) dans les provinces de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, d\u2019Alborz, d\u2019Ilam et du Lorestan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 L\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne annonce avoir tu\u00e9 le ministre iranien du Renseignement, Esmail Khatib, ce qui porte \u00e0 trois le nombre des dignitaires iraniens morts sous les frappes a\u00e9riennes depuis le d\u00e9but du conflit (le guide supr\u00eame Ali Khameini le 28 f\u00e9vrier, le chef de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale Ali Larijani le 17 mars).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Plusieurs infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques iraniennes (gisement de South Pars, centre de traitement d\u2019Asaluyeh), jug\u00e9es critiques car essentielles \u00e0 l\u2019approvisionnement int\u00e9rieur en gaz naturel de l\u2019Iran, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 la cible des frappes isra\u00e9liennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 En repr\u00e9sailles, l\u2019Iran a lanc\u00e9 une s\u00e9rie d\u2019attaques de drones et de missiles contre les infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques de plusieurs \u00c9tats du Golfe, dont la raffinerie de Ras Laffan au Qatar. Les observateurs parlent d\u2019une escalade tr\u00e8s inqui\u00e9tante, la destruction r\u00e9ciproque des infrastructures \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques r\u00e9gionales pouvant d\u00e9boucher \u00e0 court terme sur une crise \u00e9conomique mondiale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Tsahal confirme avoir d\u00e9truit au moins cinq vedettes lance-missiles de la marine iranienne en mer Caspienne. Une premi\u00e8re depuis le d\u00e9but du conflit : la mer Caspienne avait \u00e9t\u00e9 jusqu\u2019ici \u00e9pargn\u00e9e par les frappes a\u00e9riennes.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 L\u2019Iran affirme avoir lanc\u00e9 dix salves de missiles sur Isra\u00ebl ce seul jour.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Le Hezbollah revendique 57 attaques de roquettes \u00e0 courte port\u00e9e contre les forces et positions isra\u00e9liennes dans le nord d\u2019Isra\u00ebl et au Sud-Liban. Un nombre et une dispersion qui, de l\u2019aveu m\u00eame de Tsahal, rendent difficiles le rep\u00e9rage et l\u2019interception des tirs.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 D\u2019apr\u00e8s le renseignement militaire isra\u00e9lien, plusieurs centaines de combattants de la force Radwan, l\u2019unit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00e9lite du Hezbollah, op\u00e9reraient au sud du fleuve Litani, fractionn\u00e9s en petites unit\u00e9s charg\u00e9es d\u2019enrayer la progression des troupes au sol isra\u00e9liennes vers le nord.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Tsahal r\u00e9it\u00e8re les ordres d\u2019\u00e9vacuation donn\u00e9s aux populations libanaises \u00e9tablies au sud du fleuve Zahrani les 17 et 18 mars.<\/strong> Situ\u00e9e \u00e0 un peu moins de 60 km de la fronti\u00e8re isra\u00e9lo-libanaise, le fleuve Zahrani coule parall\u00e8lement au fleuve Litani et coupe le Sud-Liban d\u2019est en ouest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Les forces a\u00e9riennes coalis\u00e9es continuent de cibler les positions des milices chiites irakiennes : Forces de mobilisation populaire (FMP), <\/strong>Organisation Badr, Kataib Hezbollah, Asaib Ahl al-Haq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Lesquelles milices ont encore lanc\u00e9 plusieurs attaques de drones contre des sites am\u00e9ricains en Irak.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

19 mars (J+20) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Le capitaine Tim Hawkins, porte-parole du CENTCOM (Commandement central US), confirme que la DCA iranienne a touch\u00e9 un chasseur \u00ab furtif \u00bb F-35 am\u00e9ricain, obligeant le pilote de l\u2019avion \u00e0 atterrir en urgence sur une base amie.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Dans le m\u00eame temps, on apprend qu\u2019\u00e0 ce jour, 10 des 100 drones de combat US MQ-9 Reaper d\u00e9ploy\u00e9s dans la zone ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9truits au-dessus de l\u2019Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Le Hezbollah revendique 40 attaques, qui ont vis\u00e9 en majorit\u00e9<\/strong> des villes isra\u00e9liennes. Selon Tsahal, le Hezbollah aurait lanc\u00e9 environ 700 roquettes, missiles et drones sur Isra\u00ebl depuis son entr\u00e9e en guerre le 2 mars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Les m\u00e9dias isra\u00e9liens rapportent que des missiles tir\u00e9s depuis le Liban se sont abattus dans le sud d\u2019Isra\u00ebl, <\/strong>dans la r\u00e9gion d\u2019Ashkelon et \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 de la bande de Gaza, situ\u00e9e \u00e0 environ 200 km de la fronti\u00e8re isra\u00e9lo-libanaise. On sait que le Hezbollah dispose de missiles \u00e0 moyenne port\u00e9e, type Fateh-110, Scud ou Zelzal-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 L\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne poursuit ses frappes a\u00e9riennes et ses op\u00e9rations terrestres contre le Hezbollah.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 D\u2019apr\u00e8s Tsahal, les forces combin\u00e9es auraient \u00e9limin\u00e9 environ 85 % du parc de missiles sol-air iraniens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

20 mars (J+21) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Au total, l\u2019Iran aurait r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 d\u00e9truire 10 installations radar am\u00e9ricaines au Moyen-Orient. Un chiffre qui expliquerait les failles observ\u00e9es dans le bouclier antimissile isra\u00e9lien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 L\u2019administration Trump annonce qu\u2019elle envisage de mener des op\u00e9rations terrestres pour r\u00e9tablir le trafic dans le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz. Une d\u00e9claration surprenante (quid<\/em> de l\u2019effet de surprise pris\u00e9 des militaires ?), qui sugg\u00e8re autant un coup de bluff tactique que l\u2019aveu d\u2019une impasse strat\u00e9gique. Une invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle \u00e9tant tr\u00e8s improbable (l\u2019Iran poss\u00e8de 4 fois la superficie de l\u2019Irak), il faut s\u2019attendre \u00e0 un d\u00e9ploiement limit\u00e9 de forces sp\u00e9ciales. L\u2019\u00eele de Kharg (23 km\u00b2) a la pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence des experts : situ\u00e9e \u00e0 25 km des c\u00f4tes iraniennes, elle concentre \u00e0 elle seule 90 % des exportations de p\u00e9trole de l\u2019Iran. L\u2019\u00eele a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 frapp\u00e9e une fois le 13 mars. Probl\u00e8me : qu\u2019il s\u2019agisse d\u2019un d\u00e9barquement ou d\u2019une op\u00e9ration a\u00e9roport\u00e9e, ou d\u2019une combinaison des deux, les forces am\u00e9ricaines seront prises sous le feu de tout ce que les d\u00e9fenses c\u00f4ti\u00e8res iraniennes pourront aligner : artillerie, drones, missiles \u00e0 courte port\u00e9e CM35 et CM-90, drones sous-marins, vedettes rapides sans pilote. Des pertes sont \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir, sans commune mesure avec le bilan actuel (les \u00c9tats-Unis enregistrent 14 soldats tu\u00e9s en mission depuis le 28 f\u00e9vrier).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 2 groupes amphibies sont d\u2019ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 en route : 1) le 31e <\/sup>MEU (pour Marine Expeditionary Unit<\/em> : Unit\u00e9 exp\u00e9ditionnaire maritime), parti d\u2019Okinawa le 13 mars avec 2 500 Marines embarqu\u00e9s \u00e0 bord du GA \u00ab USS Tripoli \u00bb ; 2) le 11e <\/sup>MEU, parti de Camp Pendleton (Californie) le 20 mars avec 2 500 Marines embarqu\u00e9s \u00e0 bord du GA \u00ab USS Boxer \u00bb. Plac\u00e9s sous escorte navale, ces 2 GA emportent chacun un escadron de chasseurs furtifs F-35 Lightning II (\u00e0 d\u00e9collage et atterrissage vertical), des avions MV-22B Osprey \u00e0 rotors basculants (tiltrotor<\/em>), des h\u00e9licopt\u00e8res d\u2019attaque et de soutien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

21 mars (J+22) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Les forces a\u00e9riennes coalis\u00e9es poursuivent leurs attaques cibl\u00e9es contre les infrastructures militaires et de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 int\u00e9rieure iraniennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Deux missiles balistiques iraniens ont frapp\u00e9 les villes de Dimona et d\u2019Arad, au sud d\u2019Isra\u00ebl (d\u00e9sert du N\u00e9guev), blessant pr\u00e8s de 200 personnes.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 De source officielle britannique, l\u2019Iran a tir\u00e9 deux missiles balistiques Khorramshahr-4 visant la base am\u00e9ricano-britannique de Diego Garcia, dans l\u2019oc\u00e9an Indien, \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 4 000 km de son territoire. Si aucun des deux missiles n\u2019a atteint sa cible (le premier s\u2019est \u00e9chou\u00e9 en vol, le deuxi\u00e8me a \u00e9t\u00e9 intercept\u00e9), ces tirs d\u00e9montrent la capacit\u00e9 de l\u2019Iran \u00e0 lancer des missiles balistiques intercontinentaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

22 mars (J+23) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Poursuite des frappes a\u00e9riennes coalis\u00e9es contre T\u00e9h\u00e9ran et la partie ouest du pays, de Tabriz \u00e0 Bandar Abbas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Quatre salves de missiles balistiques iraniens ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tir\u00e9es ce seul jour en direction d\u2019Isra\u00ebl. Des vid\u00e9os montrent des missiles balistiques iraniens s\u2019abattant sur Safed, au nord, sur Tel Aviv et Kiryat Gat, au centre, et sur Ashkelon, au sud.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Pour autant, Tsahal indique avoir intercept\u00e9 92 % des 400 attaques de missiles balistiques iraniens lanc\u00e9s contre Isra\u00ebl depuis le 28 f\u00e9vrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 56 attaques revendiqu\u00e9es par le Hezbollah ce seul jour au Sud-Liban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 En Irak, 2e<\/sup> attaque en deux jours des milices chiites contre l\u2019a\u00e9roport international de Bagdad (roquettes + drones).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

23 mars (J+24) :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Poursuite des frappes a\u00e9riennes coalis\u00e9es sur l\u2019ensemble du territoire iranien : provinces de Kerman, Chaharmahal, Ispahan, Yazd. Le but est toujours de d\u00e9sorganiser les institutions et d\u2019affaiblir au maximum les capacit\u00e9s d\u00e9fensives de l\u2019Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Le Hezbollah revendique 55 attaques contre les forces isra\u00e9liennes d\u00e9ploy\u00e9es au Sud-Liban (roquettes) et contre plusieurs villes du nord d\u2019Isra\u00ebl (drones).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sources\u00a0: RUSI, ISW, La Vigie, Zone Militaire, ET Now World.<\/strong> (Revue El\u00e9ments)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Articles : Mar. 2026 – Fev 2026 – Jan 2026 – Dec. 2025 –Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887 Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr #webtube : Comment y voir clair dans le brouillard de la guerre ? Depuis le d\u00e9clenchement des op\u00e9rations isra\u00e9lo-am\u00e9ricaines contre l\u2019Iran, les annonces contradictoires, la propagande et les chiffres inv\u00e9rifiables se multiplient. Notre sp\u00e9cialiste, … Continuer la lecture de « . 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