{"id":35065,"date":"2026-03-26T05:21:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T05:21:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/?p=35065"},"modified":"2026-03-26T05:21:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T05:21:27","slug":"en-ukraine-comme-en-iran-la-dissuasion-nucleaire-affiche-ses-limites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/26\/en-ukraine-comme-en-iran-la-dissuasion-nucleaire-affiche-ses-limites\/","title":{"rendered":". En Ukraine comme en Iran, la dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire affiche ses limites"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Articles : Mar. 2026<\/a> – Fev 2026<\/a> – Jan 2026<\/a> – Dec. 2025<\/a> –
Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887<\/a> Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews<\/a> Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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#webtube <\/strong>: La dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire n\u2019interdit malheureusement ni les guerres, ni l\u2019escalade conventionnelle. Quand Poutine laisse franchir toutes les lignes rouges, jusqu\u2019\u00e0 accepter sans r\u00e9agir que l\u2019Otan fournisse avions et missiles longue port\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019Ukraine, on voit bien que son arsenal de 6 200 t\u00eates nucl\u00e9aires ne sert qu\u2019\u00e0 dissuader une autre puissance nucl\u00e9aire comme les \u00c9tats-Unis, mais certainement pas un pays qui ne poss\u00e8de pas l\u2019arme atomique.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moralement, cette arme est inutilisable contre un pays qui en est d\u00e9muni, sauf \u00e0 vouloir rejoindre les pires bourreaux de l\u2019histoire sur le podium de l\u2019inhumanit\u00e9. Un pas que ni la Russie, ni Isra\u00ebl ne franchiront dans les conflits actuels qui restent de dimension limit\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukrainiens comme Iraniens le savent, se livrant \u00e0 une escalade conventionnelle sans limite. Le missile Oreshnik cens\u00e9 intimider Kiev et l\u2019Europe n\u2019a eu aucun effet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u2019il y a une arme \u00e9minemment d\u00e9licate \u00e0 manier, c\u2019est bien la dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire, cens\u00e9e effrayer l\u2019adversaire, tant la puissance du feu nucl\u00e9aire est d\u00e9vastatrice et terrifiante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La vitrification instantan\u00e9e d\u2019Hiroshima et de Nagasaki restera grav\u00e9e dans les m\u00e9moires jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin des temps. Pour toute l\u2019humanit\u00e9, un seul constat s\u2019impose : plus jamais \u00e7a.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Par cons\u00e9quent, pour tous les dirigeants poss\u00e9dant l\u2019arme nucl\u00e9aire, m\u00eame l\u2019utilisation d\u2019une minuscule bombe nucl\u00e9aire tactique de 2 ou 3 kilotonnes sur le champ de bataille, donc 10 fois moins puissante que celles largu\u00e9es en 1945 sur le Japon, les mettrait instantan\u00e9ment au ban de l\u2019humanit\u00e9. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toutes les doctrines nucl\u00e9aires actuelles ne sont que des planifications hypoth\u00e9tiques qui ne pourront jamais pr\u00e9voir et d\u00e9cider du choix de l\u2019engagement du feu nucl\u00e9aire \u00e0 la place de celui qui en a la responsabilit\u00e9 ultime. Avant d\u2019appuyer sur le bouton, il faut \u00eatre pr\u00eat \u00e0 subir le jugement du tribunal de l\u2019histoire, ce qui n\u2019est pas \u00e0 la port\u00e9e du premier venu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u2019est pourquoi les faucons du Kremlin qui tr\u00e9pignent de voir Poutine laisser franchir toutes les lignes rouges depuis quatre ans sans la moindre r\u00e9action, et qui souhaitent abaisser le seuil d\u2019emploi de l\u2019arme nucl\u00e9aire, font \u00e0 mon avis fausse route.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si la guerre s\u2019\u00e9ternise en Ukraine et que la Russie s\u2019\u00e9puise dans une guerre d\u2019usure qui frappe lourdement son \u00e9conomie, ce n\u2019est pas parce que Poutine s\u2019oppose \u00e0 user de l\u2019arme nucl\u00e9aire tactique, mais plut\u00f4t parce qu\u2019il se refuse depuis toujours \u00e0 frapper les centres de d\u00e9cision ukrainiens et \u00e0 d\u00e9capiter le r\u00e9gime en place.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je reste persuad\u00e9 que vouloir restaurer la peur du nucl\u00e9aire comme le pr\u00e9conise <\/strong>Sergue\u00ef<\/strong> Karaganov,<\/strong> pr\u00e9sident honoraire du Conseil russe de politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re et de d\u00e9fense et ancien conseiller de Poutine et d\u2019Eltsine, est un pari dangereux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019arme nucl\u00e9aire nous a \u00e9vit\u00e9 une troisi\u00e8me guerre mondiale depuis 80 ans, elle a calm\u00e9 le jeu entre l\u2019Inde et le Pakistan, ce n\u2019est donc pas le moment d\u2019en banaliser l\u2019usage avec des mini-bombes tactiques, les mini-nukes, qui ne feront que transformer l\u2019escalade conventionnelle localis\u00e9e en risque nucl\u00e9aire mondial.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voici ce que d\u00e9clare Karaganov : <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/reseauinternational.net\/escalade-maitrisee-la-doctrine-nucleaire-face-a-un-occident-sature-2<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poutine est trop patient avec l\u2019Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab Je critique mon gouvernement d\u2019\u00eatre trop prudent et trop patient avec eux, il faudrait<\/strong><\/em> les punir s\u00e9v\u00e8rement \u2013 de pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence de mani\u00e8re limit\u00e9e <\/strong>\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab Si la Russie s\u2019approche un jour d\u2019une d\u00e9faite (m\u00eame fantasmagorique), cela signifierait que la Russie utiliserait maintenant des armes nucl\u00e9aires, et l\u2019Europe serait finie physiquement. <\/em><\/strong>\u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ses cibles prioritaires ? L\u2019Allemagne et le Royaume-Uni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mais personnellement, je ne crois pas \u00e0 la \u00ab menace nucl\u00e9aire cr\u00e9dible et limit\u00e9e \u00bb, excluant l\u2019an\u00e9antissement g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9, que pr\u00e9conise Karaganov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qui peut croire \u00e0 une \u00ab escalade contr\u00f4l\u00e9e, calibr\u00e9e, pens\u00e9e pour produire un choc psychologique d\u00e9cisif \u00bb<\/em>, sans d\u00e9clencher une guerre nucl\u00e9aire totale ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vouloir intimider le Royaume-Uni, l\u2019Allemagne ou la France par des \u00ab frappes nucl\u00e9aires d\u00e9monstratives \u00bb, des \u00ab frappes de d\u00e9grisement \u00bb<\/em>, rel\u00e8ve de l\u2019inconscience la plus totale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On ne joue pas avec le feu nucl\u00e9aire de fa\u00e7on aussi d\u00e9sinvolte. L\u2019Europe, qui se pla\u00eet \u00e0 jouer les Rambo face \u00e0 Poutine, devrait se f\u00e9liciter d\u2019avoir un sage \u00e0 la t\u00eate de la Russie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avec une t\u00eate br\u00fbl\u00e9e au Kremlin, il y a longtemps que l\u2019Europe et le monde se seraient embras\u00e9s pour la troisi\u00e8me fois, au risque d\u2019un an\u00e9antissement plan\u00e9taire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacques Guillemain<\/strong>, Riposte La\u00efque<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Articles : Mar. 2026 – Fev 2026 – Jan 2026 – Dec. 2025 –Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887 Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr #webtube : La dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire n\u2019interdit malheureusement ni les guerres, ni l\u2019escalade conventionnelle. Quand Poutine laisse franchir toutes les lignes rouges, jusqu\u2019\u00e0 accepter sans r\u00e9agir que l\u2019Otan fournisse avions et missiles longue port\u00e9e \u00e0 … Continuer la lecture de « . En Ukraine comme en Iran, la dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire affiche ses limites »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\n. 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