{"id":34991,"date":"2026-03-22T09:06:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T09:06:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/?p=34991"},"modified":"2026-03-22T09:06:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T09:06:15","slug":"hausse-des-taux-dinteret-nous-allons-nous-endetter-plus-et-plus-cher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/22\/hausse-des-taux-dinteret-nous-allons-nous-endetter-plus-et-plus-cher\/","title":{"rendered":". Hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat : nous allons nous endetter plus et plus cher"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Articles : Mar. 2026<\/a> – Fev 2026<\/a> – Jan 2026<\/a> – Dec. 2025<\/a> –
Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887<\/a> Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews<\/a> Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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#webtube<\/strong> : Nous entrons dans un cycle inflationniste dont nous ignorons l’ampleur. La hausse du prix des carburants va progressivement se r\u00e9percuter sur les autres sources d’\u00e9nergie, sur la chimie, sur les transports, puis le b\u00e2timent, avant de diffuser sur l’ensemble des secteurs \u00e9conomiques : c’est ce qu’on appelle les \u00ab effets de second tour \u00bb. Nous entrons ainsi dans un cycle inflationniste dont nous ignorons l’ampleur.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mais le plus grave est quasi invisible : c’est la hausse des taux des emprunts \u00e0 long terme. On les mesure en observant l’emprunt phare, \u00e0 savoir l’obligation assimilable du Tr\u00e9sor (OAT) \u00e0 dix ans d’\u00e9ch\u00e9ance, \u00e9mise par l\u2019\u00c9tat – c’est-\u00e0-dire l’emprunteur le plus solvable. En moins d’un mois, ce taux directeur est pass\u00e9 de 3,2 % \u00e0 3,7 % : du jamais-vu depuis 2011 ! Cette tension sur les taux de la dette va se g\u00e9n\u00e9raliser \u00e0 l’ensemble des emprunteurs – entreprises, secteur immobilier ou collectivit\u00e9s locales -, ce qui se r\u00e9percutera sur le volume des investissements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c0 ce sujet \u2014 [\u00c9DITO] Dette : on est vraiment au pied du mur\u2026 ou au bord du gouffre<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une tectonique irr\u00e9sistible<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les dirigeants de nos gouvernements ainsi que de nos banques centrales s’agitent et \u00e9voquent une intervention \u00e9tatique sur les taux : de vaines gesticulations qui ne peuvent influencer bri\u00e8vement que les seuls taux \u00e0 court terme. En effet, les taux exig\u00e9s sur la dette \u00e0 moyen et long terme \u00e9chappent \u00e0 tout contr\u00f4le \u00e9tatique, car ils r\u00e9sultent de deux fondamentaux : le risque et l’inflation anticip\u00e9e.
Concernant le danger de d\u00e9faillance, le risque pays de la France n’est plus nul : notre notation, un simple A, est pass\u00e9e \u00e0 trois niveaux au-dessous de celle de l’Allemagne, laquelle a gard\u00e9 son AAA.
Quant au taux d’inflation, prenons nos tables d’actualisation et voyons \u00e0 quoi \u00e9quivalent cent euros avec un taux annuel d’\u00e9rosion mon\u00e9taire de 3,75 %. R\u00e9ponse : 69 euros dans dix ans et 33 euros dans trente ans ! On comprend mieux pourquoi les \u00e9pargnants pr\u00eateurs sont devenus plus gourmands en cette p\u00e9riode d’anticipations inflationnistes… Et aucun pouvoir ne peut s’opposer \u00e0 cette froide rationalit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s financiers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour la France : la double peine<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les ann\u00e9es 2026 et 2027 s’annon\u00e7aient tr\u00e8s noires pour nos finances publiques, d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9grad\u00e9es par les frasques macroniennes<\/a>.
Les int\u00e9r\u00eats de notre dette publique devaient passer de 65 milliards, en 2025, \u00e0 74 milliards d’euros, en 2026, et ce, du fait du volume, mais aussi de la structure de notre dette. En effet, sa dur\u00e9e de vie moyenne est de 8 ans : nous remboursons donc aujourd’hui de la dette contract\u00e9e en 2018 \u00e0 0,2 % pour emprunter, d\u00e9sormais, \u00e0 3,7 % ! La hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat ne pouvait pas tomber plus mal, d’autant plus que 311 milliards d’euros d\u2019emprunts nouveaux sont pr\u00e9vus, au cours de l’ann\u00e9e 2026.
Voil\u00e0 qui va creuser notre d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire. Qu’on en juge : le simple glissement des taux obligataires de 3,2 % \u00e0 3,7 % co\u00fbtera au budget de l’\u00c9tat 1,5 milliard d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats suppl\u00e9mentaires en 2026 et 4 milliards en 2027. Le retour \u00e0 l’\u00e9quilibre de nos finances publiques n\u00e9cessiterait, d\u00e9sormais, une cure d’aust\u00e9rit\u00e9 sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Dans l’imm\u00e9diat, nous allons nous endetter plus et plus cher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pr Jean-Richard Sulzer<\/a>, dans BV<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Articles : Mar. 2026 – Fev 2026 – Jan 2026 – Dec. 2025 –Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887 Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr #webtube : Nous entrons dans un cycle inflationniste dont nous ignorons l’ampleur. La hausse du prix des carburants va progressivement se r\u00e9percuter sur les autres sources d’\u00e9nergie, sur la chimie, sur les transports, puis … Continuer la lecture de « . Hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat : nous allons nous endetter plus et plus cher »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\n. 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