{"id":30984,"date":"2026-01-07T07:08:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T07:08:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/?p=30984"},"modified":"2026-01-07T07:08:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T07:08:16","slug":"rumeurs-deffondrement-du-regime-iranien-lhypothese-dune-restauration-royale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/webtube.fr\/index.php\/2026\/01\/07\/rumeurs-deffondrement-du-regime-iranien-lhypothese-dune-restauration-royale\/","title":{"rendered":". Rumeurs d\u2019effondrement du r\u00e9gime\u00a0iranien : l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une restauration royale"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Articles : Jan 2026<\/a> – Dec. 2025<\/a> – Nov. 2025<\/a> – Oct. 2025<\/a> –
Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887<\/a> Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews<\/a> Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

#webtube <\/strong>: Alors que le pouvoir semble vaciller, les slogans pro-Pahlavi se font entendre dans les rues de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran. La capture de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro par les \u00c9tats-Unis va-t-elle d\u00e9clencher une r\u00e9action en cha\u00eene, dont le r\u00e9gime islamiste iranien serait la premi\u00e8re victime ?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un pouvoir de plus en plus fragile<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Si l\u2019incapacit\u00e9 de ce dernier \u00e0 faire face aux graves difficult\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques auxquelles il est confront\u00e9 a fourni \u00e0 ses opposants un pr\u00e9texte suppl\u00e9mentaire pour profiter d\u2019une gr\u00e8ve des commer\u00e7ants d’un bazar de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran pour descendre dans les rues, r\u00e9duire les r\u00e9centes manifestations \u00e0 une simple protestation \u00ab contre la vie ch\u00e8re \u00bb<\/a>, comme l\u2019ont fait de nombreux m\u00e9dias fran\u00e7ais, n\u2019est gu\u00e8re s\u00e9rieux. L\u2019accentuation des tensions dans le pays suffit d\u2019ailleurs \u00e0 montrer que les Iraniens ne r\u00e9clament pas tant des \u00ab soldes \u00bb que la fin du r\u00e9gime des mollahs. Apr\u00e8s deux soul\u00e8vements importants en 2019 et 2022, le pouvoir iranien avait engag\u00e9 un bras de fer arm\u00e9 avec Isra\u00ebl, lequel avait alors fini par d\u00e9cider Washington \u00e0 intervenir pour bombarder et d\u00e9truire en grande partie les sites nucl\u00e9aires iraniens. T\u00e9h\u00e9ran perdait ensuite, coup sur coup, ses deux alli\u00e9s au Proche-Orient : le Hamas, neutralis\u00e9 pour un temps au moins \u00e0 Gaza, et le Hezbollah, \u00e9cras\u00e9 par les Isra\u00e9liens au Liban. Autant de secousses, sur les fronts int\u00e9rieurs et ext\u00e9rieurs, qui ont fragilis\u00e9 les positions du pouvoir iranien et enhardi ses oppositions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le r\u00e9gime en mode \u00ab survie \u00bb<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Depuis une semaine, de nouvelles manifestations ont eu lieu, occasionnant des affrontements qui auraient fait entre 12 et 16 morts \u00e0 T\u00e9h\u00e9ran et dans quelques autres villes, selon l\u2019AFP<\/a>, mais Iran International<\/em><\/a>, m\u00e9dia qui serait proche de l\u2019Arabie saoudite, avance de son c\u00f4t\u00e9 un bilan de 20 morts et des troubles dans plus de 220 localit\u00e9s. Le pouvoir iranien semble par ailleurs divis\u00e9 sur la conduite \u00e0 tenir<\/a> face aux \u00e9meutiers. Si le pr\u00e9sident Masoud Pezeshkian a admis n\u2019avoir \u00ab aucune id\u00e9e \u00bb<\/em> pour r\u00e9soudre la crise en cours et dit faire la distinction entre les appels au soul\u00e8vement et des revendications \u00e9conomiques \u00ab l\u00e9gitimes \u00bb<\/em>, le Guide supr\u00eame, l’ayatollah Ali Khamenei, s\u2019est montr\u00e9 beaucoup moins conciliant : \u00ab Les manifestants doivent \u00eatre remis \u00e0 leur place \u00bb<\/em>, a-t-il d\u00e9clar\u00e9, accusant des forces \u00e9trang\u00e8res d\u2019avoir provoqu\u00e9 un effondrement du cours du rial. Le ministre des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res iranien, Abbas Aragchi, \u00e9voquant la situation du pays devant la presse, a quant \u00e0 lui parl\u00e9 de \u00ab lutte pour la survie du r\u00e9gime \u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c0 ce sujet \u2014 V\u00e9n\u00e9zu\u00e9liens, Iraniens : ces peuples qui n\u2019int\u00e9ressent pas la gauche fran\u00e7aise<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c0 Londres, on voit Khamenei bient\u00f4t \u00e0 Moscou<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Et pour ajouter \u00e0 la confusion g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, apr\u00e8s la capture de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro par les Am\u00e9ricains et la menace d\u2019intervention adress\u00e9e par Donald Trump au pouvoir iranien si ce dernier tuait d\u2019autres \u00ab manifestants pacifiques \u00bb<\/em>, les services de renseignement britanniques ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9<\/a> que l’ayatollah Ali Khamenei envisagerait de fuir en Russie. Une information \u00e0 prendre \u00e9videmment avec prudence, mais pour le prince Davoud Pahlavi<\/a> (cousin du prince h\u00e9ritier Reza Pahlavi), qui a accept\u00e9 de r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 BV<\/em>, \u00ab \u00e0 86 ans, ce dernier disposerait d\u2019un plan d\u2019urgence pour fuir vers Moscou, accompagn\u00e9 d\u2019un cercle restreint de proches, afin de rejoindre Bachar el-Assad en cas d\u2019effondrement du r\u00e9gime. Ces informations, fond\u00e9es sur des sources de renseignement, paraissent tout \u00e0 fait plausibles et logiques. \u00bb<\/em> La situation actuelle, qui pourrait \u00e9voluer tr\u00e8s vite, fait \u00e9videmment penser \u00e0 celle de 1979, qui avait vu la chute du r\u00e9gime imp\u00e9rial, mais \u00ab contrairement \u00e0 1979, o\u00f9 deux forces id\u00e9ologiques structur\u00e9es s\u2019affrontaient et dominaient la sc\u00e8ne \u00bb<\/em>, explique le prince Davoud Pahlavi, \u00ab les soul\u00e8vements r\u00e9cents r\u00e9v\u00e8lent une r\u00e9alit\u00e9 bien diff\u00e9rente : le changement, s\u2019il doit advenir, na\u00eetra probablement de la rue iranienne elle-m\u00eame \u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une \u00ab monarchie constitutionnelle, modernis\u00e9e \u00bb ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La r\u00e9volution khomeiniste avait \u00e9t\u00e9 brutale et sanglante, la contre-r\u00e9volution pourrait-elle l\u2019\u00eatre aussi ? \u00ab Contrairement \u00e0 ce que certains imaginent, le passage d\u2019un r\u00e9gime autoritaire \u00e0 une d\u00e9mocratie durable ne saurait s\u2019accomplir dans le chaos ou par des ruptures brutales. Il n\u00e9cessite au contraire une p\u00e9riode de stabilit\u00e9, un temps de respiration collective, afin de poser les fondations solides d\u2019un avenir libre et apais\u00e9 \u00bb<\/em>, juge Davoud Pahlavi. \u00ab C\u2019est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment pourquoi je consid\u00e8re qu\u2019un gouvernement de transition, repr\u00e9sente la voie la plus sage \u00bb<\/em>, plaide le prince, pour qui \u00ab une telle instance aurait pour mission essentielle de garantir la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 du pays, de restaurer l\u2019ordre public sans r\u00e9pression, de prot\u00e9ger les institutions vitales et, surtout, de pr\u00e9parer le terrain pour des \u00e9lections libres et transparentes. \u00bb<\/em> De m\u00eame consid\u00e8re-t-il que le retour des Pahlavi ne constituerait pas une restauration pure et simple de \u00ab l\u2019ancien r\u00e9gime \u00bb : \u00ab Il est temps de r\u00e9inventer notre monarchie, de l\u2019adapter aux exigences de l\u2019\u00e8re contemporaine, en puisant avec sagesse dans les meilleures pratiques des autres monarchies du globe, tout en pr\u00e9servant jalousement notre identit\u00e9 iranienne et notre riche h\u00e9ritage culturel. \u00bb<\/em> Partisan d\u2019une \u00ab monarchie constitutionnelle, dans sa forme modernis\u00e9e \u00bb<\/em>, le prince confirme qu\u2019il se tiendrait \u00e0 disposition de son cousin si celui-ci faisait appel \u00e0 lui.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reste \u00e0 savoir si le r\u00e9gime des mollahs tombera. Si oui, quand il tombera. Et si l\u2019Iran choisirait, alors, la voie r\u00e9publicaine ou une nouvelle voie royale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Etienne Lombard<\/a>, dans BV<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Articles : Jan 2026 – Dec. 2025 – Nov. 2025 – Oct. 2025 –Facebook : https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=100069673161887 Twitter : https:\/\/twitter.com\/OrtfNews Music 24\/24 : http:\/\/DJMUSIC.fr #webtube : Alors que le pouvoir semble vaciller, les slogans pro-Pahlavi se font entendre dans les rues de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran. La capture de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro par les \u00c9tats-Unis va-t-elle d\u00e9clencher une r\u00e9action en cha\u00eene, dont … Continuer la lecture de « . Rumeurs d\u2019effondrement du r\u00e9gime\u00a0iranien : l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une restauration royale »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\n. 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